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The average rate on the 30-year-fixed mortgage saw a 27 basis point increase on Friday morning following the release of the government’s monthly employment report. The rate now stands at 6.53%, up 42 basis points from Sept. 17. Mortgage rates are not directly influenced by the Fed, but they do loosely follow the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury.

The anticipation leading up to the monthly report was significant, as the last two reports indicated weaker labor market conditions. This report slightly shifts the outlook for rates going forward, as most had expected a downward trajectory. Today’s homebuyers are particularly sensitive to rate changes as house prices continue to rise and inventory remains low in the market.

Rates are currently a full percentage point lower than a year ago, but the housing market has not seen a significant boost yet. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s chief economist forecasts that mortgage rates will likely stay close to 6% over the next 12 months.

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