Fed to Ease Gradually Due to Ongoing Inflation Challenges, Says Fitch



The Federal Reserve is expected to begin a “mild” easing cycle in September, according to Fitch. The ratings agency predicts that the Central bank will cut rates by 25 basis points at both its September and December meetings, with further cuts totaling 250 basis points over the next few years. The gradual pace of easing is attributed to the need to address Inflation, as the CPI remains above the Fed’s 2% target.

Fitch also anticipates rate cuts in China, citing deflationary pressures and falling prices across various sectors. In contrast, the Bank of Japan is taking a more hawkish stance, raising rates to combat persistent deflation. The BOJ aims to achieve a “virtuous wage-price cycle” and is projected to continue raising rates towards neutral settings.

Overall, Fitch’s outlook points towards a nuanced approach to monetary policy in the face of differing economic conditions across regions.



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